N 27° 05.932
E 142° 12.016

From the South is a typhoon approaching, which is supposed to turn NE just south of the Ogasawara Islands. But we still will get strong winds in the harbor.

My previously considered escape route towards Yokohama is blocked by a pretty strong low system moving SW, creating 5-7 m waves. Not navigatable.

After analyzing 4 weather models and the typhoon forcast of the JTWC (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) yesterday morning I can asume that the typhoon turns really NE sufficiently south of Ogasawara.

From now on I’ll do this analysis daily until the 18th.

Still, I have to expect 30-40 KN of wind in the harbor. No fun. So I’ll prepare the boat for these strong winds today.

Keep fingers crossed.