… one may be lucky!

Yesterday, shortly before 1800, I decided to tack and run W
“W” in this case means to run as much N in the NW quadrant as possible.

I knew, I have to use my east offset miles and I will be forced to tack again towards E to gain additionally needed miles towards E.

I took this risk.

We started with an COG between 342 and 350, which was not bad at all because this gave us already way to N, where we need to go.

When I got up for my watch Tobi told me, “We sailed sometimes 0000 and even positive angles”. ‘That’s great!” I replied being very happy, “It means the wind is turning E”.

During my watch I observed the same COG crossing the 360 deg line into the “positive” range. Which means a COG east of N.

The same continued on Tobi’s next watch and on mine second watch. Now, at 1030 boat time (UTC-11) the COG line stays very often east of N. A simple graphical simulation I made shows that if we stay in average at a COG of 5 deg we reach the key WPT at the SW corner of Tarawa.

I think we deserve this luck after all what we went through earlier on this sail.

BTW, this morning at 0400 we achieved for the first time a day distance of exactly 120 NM.

Thanks to Vili whose assessment, made in CH, came in during my second watch. He is of the same opinion. This makes me feeling good with my decision.
Thanks Vili for your assessment.